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With a 4-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their typical game plan.The model projects the Ravens to be the 7th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 45.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Ravens are predicted by the model to run 66.5 total plays in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.Justice Hill's ground effectiveness (4.70 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (79th percentile among RBs).Justice Hill has been one of the top running backs in the NFL at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging a terrific 4.24 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while checking in at the 95th percentile.
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