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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 4

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills

Justice Hill Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+388/-809).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -750 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -809.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects Justice Hill to be a more important option in his team's rushing attack near the end zone this week (19.1% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).

Opposing squads have run for the 4th-most touchdowns in the league (1.10 per game) against the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season.

The Buffalo Bills safeties grade out as the 30th-worst safety corps in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a 3.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 5th-worst paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.87 seconds per snap.

The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.

The Buffalo Bills have stacked the box versus opponents on 19.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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