Justice Hill Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 4

My Account Log Out

reorder

Justice Hill

NFL · Player Props

Justice Hill

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Rushing TD

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 4:45 PM UTC

Analysis

Justice Hill Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+388/-809).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -750 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -809.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Justice Hill to be a more important option in his team's rushing attack near the end zone this week (19.1% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).
Opposing squads have run for the 4th-most touchdowns in the league (1.10 per game) against the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season.
The Buffalo Bills safeties grade out as the 30th-worst safety corps in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 3.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 5th-worst paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.87 seconds per snap.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
The Buffalo Bills have stacked the box versus opponents on 19.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

More Justice Hill Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow