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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Justice Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-174).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -141 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -174.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In this week's contest, Justice Hill is predicted by the projections to position himself in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.7 targets.
  • Justice Hill has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 11.8% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Ravens to pass on 53.8% of their downs: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • At the present time, the 4th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Baltimore Ravens.
  • Justice Hill's receiving talent has declined this season, notching a mere 1.8 adjusted catches vs 2.8 last season.
  • Justice Hill's ball-catching skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 92.7% to 78.4%.
  • Since the start of last season, the fierce Chiefs defense has given up a feeble 78.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 4th-smallest rate in football.

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