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Justice Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Baltimore Ravens vs Detroit Lions

Justice Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -180.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may decline.

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.8 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.

In this week's contest, Justice Hill is forecasted by the model to position himself in the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.3 targets.

With a remarkable 11.6% Target Rate (91st percentile) since the start of last season, Justice Hill rates as one of the pass-game running backs with the most usage in the league.

With a stellar 2.7 adjusted receptions per game (83rd percentile) since the start of last season, Justice Hill stands as one of the leading RB receiving threats in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.

The leading projections forecast the Ravens to be the least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 52.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Ravens have run the fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 55.3 plays per game.

Justice Hill's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 92.8% to 80.0%.

More Justice Hill Player Props

Justice Hill ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 3

Baltimore Ravens vs Detroit Lions

Justice Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 3