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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Justice Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+158/-205).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +158 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +158.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The predictive model expects Justice Hill to total 2.8 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 75th percentile among running backs.
  • With an impressive 11.7% Target% (90th percentile) since the start of last season, Justice Hill has been among the RB receiving threats with the most usage in the league.
  • Justice Hill profiles as one of the top pass-game RBs since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 2.7 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 84th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests an extreme running game script for the Ravens, who are a huge favorite by 12.5 points.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Ravens to pass on 47.3% of their plays: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The Ravens have called the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 55.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense since the start of last season: 5th-fewest in the league.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Cleveland's group of LBs has been fantastic since the start of last season, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.

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