reorder

Justice Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals

Justice Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Baltimore Ravens to run the 10th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.3 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Justice Hill has been an integral part of his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 11.3% this year, which ranks him in the 87th percentile when it comes to running backs.

The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has been gouged for the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (86.9%) versus running backs this year (86.9%).

When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati's group of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a giant 7-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

The predictive model expects the Ravens as the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 50.2% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The 2nd-fewest plays in football have been called by the Baltimore Ravens this year (a measly 52.0 per game on average).

When it comes to protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year.

Justice Hill's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 92.8% to 77.6%.

More Justice Hill Player Props

Justice Hill ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 13

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals

Justice Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 13