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Justice Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

Justice Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-185/+150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -172 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

With an exceptional 12.3% Target Share (88th percentile) this year, Justice Hill ranks among the pass-game running backs with the most usage in the NFL.

With an excellent 2.1 adjusted receptions per game (75th percentile) this year, Justice Hill has been as one of the best pass-game running backs in the NFL.

When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New York's LB corps has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 9th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is implied by the Ravens being a heavy 14-point favorite in this week's contest.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 48.9% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

The Baltimore Ravens have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.

The Baltimore offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Justice Hill's 77.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this year conveys an impressive drop-off in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 92.8% figure.

More Justice Hill Player Props

Justice Hill ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

Justice Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 12