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Justice Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

Justice Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+140/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -185.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 131.8 offensive plays called: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.

Justice Hill has been a big part of his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 12.3% this year, which ranks him in the 88th percentile among running backs.

Justice Hill checks in as one of the best RB receiving threats this year, averaging a remarkable 2.1 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 76th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Ravens are a huge favorite this week, indicating much more of a focus on rushing than their standard approach.

The model projects the Ravens as the 2nd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 49.3% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Baltimore Ravens this year (a lowly 51.6 per game on average).

The weather report calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 27.1 per game) this year.

More Justice Hill Player Props

Justice Hill ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 11

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

Justice Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 11