My Account Log Out

reorder

Justice Hill

Justice Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

Justice Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+112/-148).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -143 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -148.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bills defense has been a notorious pass funnel last year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (33.9 per game) last year.

The predictive model expects Justice Hill to notch 2.6 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 77th percentile among RBs.

Justice Hill has been a key part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 11.9% last year, which places him in the 91st percentile among running backs.

With an outstanding 2.8 adjusted catches per game (85th percentile) last year, Justice Hill stands as one of the top pass-game running backs in the NFL.

With a stellar 92.8% Adjusted Completion% (92nd percentile) last year, Justice Hill stands as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Ravens to pass on 53.5% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The model projects the Ravens offense to be the 5th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.49 seconds per play.

Last year, the fierce Buffalo Bills defense has allowed a puny 79.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 5th-smallest rate in the NFL.

More Justice Hill Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™