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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Justice Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Ravens will be forced to use backup quarterback Cooper Rush this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • In this week's contest, Justice Hill is expected by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs with 4.0 targets.
  • Justice Hill rates in the 93rd percentile for RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) with an impressive 21.0 mark this year.
  • The Houston Texans pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing RBs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 6.95 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the most in the NFL.
  • The Houston Texans safeties profile as the 4th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Ravens to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 58.3% pass rate.
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are projected by the model to run just 63.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The Ravens have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 47.0 plays per game.
  • In regards to air yards, Justice Hill grades out in the measly 22nd percentile among RBs this year, totaling just -4.0 per game.
  • Justice Hill has compiled significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (21.0) this year than he did last year (27.0).

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