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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Justice Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-124/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In this week's contest, Justice Hill is predicted by the projections to position himself in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.7 targets.
  • Justice Hill has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 11.8% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Justice Hill grades out in the 81st percentile when it comes to running backs this year with a remarkable 0.8% of his offense's air yards accumulated.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Ravens to pass on 53.8% of their downs: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • At the present time, the 4th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Baltimore Ravens.
  • Justice Hill has compiled quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (14.0) this season than he did last season (27.0).
  • Justice Hill's ball-catching skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 92.7% to 78.4%.
  • Justice Hill's 6.3 adjusted yards per target this season represents a significant regression in his pass-catching talent over last season's 8.8 figure.

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