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Justice Hill Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Minnesota Vikings vs Baltimore Ravens

Justice Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-112/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Ravens are predicted by the model to run 66.4 total plays in this game: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The model projects Justice Hill to garner 3.4 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to running backs.

Justice Hill has been a big part of his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 12.9% this year, which ranks him in the 91st percentile when it comes to running backs.

The Vikings linebackers grade out as the 9th-worst group of LBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their typical game plan.

Our trusted projections expect the Ravens to be the 10th-least pass-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.3% pass rate.

The lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Ravens this year (a lowly 50.1 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Minnesota Vikings, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 28.6 per game) this year.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the influence it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Ravens profiles as the 9th-worst in football this year.

More Justice Hill Player Props

Justice Hill Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 10

Minnesota Vikings vs Baltimore Ravens

Justice Hill Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10