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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

Justice Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bills defense has been a notorious pass funnel last year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (33.9 per game) last year.

The predictive model expects Justice Hill to notch 2.6 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 77th percentile among RBs.

Justice Hill has been a key part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 11.9% last year, which places him in the 91st percentile among running backs.

Justice Hill comes in as one of the best pass-catching running backs last year, averaging an exceptional 27.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 93rd percentile.

With a stellar 92.8% Adjusted Completion% (92nd percentile) last year, Justice Hill stands as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Ravens to pass on 53.5% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The model projects the Ravens offense to be the 5th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.49 seconds per play.

In regards to air yards, Justice Hill ranks in the measly 15th percentile among running backs last year, totaling just -2.0 per game.

Last year, the fierce Buffalo Bills defense has allowed a puny 79.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 5th-smallest rate in the NFL.

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