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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Carries
Player Prop Week 6

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Justice Hill Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+140/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -190.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the most run-focused team in the NFL (43.6% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Baltimore Ravens.
  • The projections expect this game to see the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.1 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being projected in this game) generally mean lessened passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher run volume.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling out backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Ravens are a big 7-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have run the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 44.8 plays per game.
  • The Rams safeties grade out as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

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