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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Baltimore Ravens vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Justice Hill Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Ravens are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens as the 7th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 47.2% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Ravens have run the fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 55.3 plays per game.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may decline.
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Detroit's unit has been one of the most skilled since the start of last season, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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