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Julio Jones

Julio Jones Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Philadelphia Eagles vs Arizona Cardinals

Julio Jones Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+170/-220).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -210 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -220.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Eagles to call the 10th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 61.2 plays per game.

The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game stats across the board.

The Cardinals pass defense has been gouged for the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (69%) to wide receivers this year (69.0%).

The Arizona Cardinals cornerbacks grade out as the worst CB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 12.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a heavy favorite this week, indicating much more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal approach.

Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 46.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.

Julio Jones's 8.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 29.4.

Julio Jones's 1.2 adjusted receptions per game this year reflects a substantial diminishment in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 2.4 rate.

More Julio Jones Player Props

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