Julio Jones Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Julio Jones

NFL · Player Props

Julio Jones

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Miami Dolphins · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Julio Jones Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Eagles are expected by our trusted projection set to run 66.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week.
The Philadelphia Eagles have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 67.2 plays per game.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Eagles profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.
This year, the feeble Dolphins pass defense has given up a massive 72.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 5th-biggest rate in the league.

Favors Under

With a 3-point advantage, the Eagles are favored this week, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their standard approach.
The leading projections forecast the Eagles to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being projected in this game) typically correlate with decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.
This year, the formidable Dolphins pass defense has conceded the 9th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing WRs: a meager 4.0 YAC.
When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Miami's group of safeties has been fantastic this year, ranking as the best in football.

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