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Julio Jones
NFL · Player Props
Julio Jones
WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Receiving Yards
Cleveland Browns vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 12, 2022 Updated Nov 27, 2022 5:11 PM UTC
NFL Props Julio Jones Receiving Yards

Julio Jones Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -115.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 63.2 plays per game.
  • Julio Jones has posted quite a few more air yards this season (63.0 per game) than he did last season (58.0 per game).
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Favors Under
  • The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 29.3 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-least in football.
  • Julio Jones has been much less involved in his offense's pass attack this year (10.6% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (16.0%).
  • Julio Jones's receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 65.9% to 54.2%.
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