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Julian Hill

Julian Hill Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets

Julian Hill Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1100/-6500).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -2750 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -6500.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to be the 6th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 58.9% red zone pass rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to call the 2nd-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.9 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Jets, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 30.4 per game) since the start of last season.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Dolphins profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

With a lousy rate of just 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Julian Hill rates as one of the worst receiving TD-scorers in football when it comes to TEs since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the anemic New York Jets run defense has been torched for a massive 1.25 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing squads: the 4th-largest rate in the NFL.

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