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Julian Hill

Julian Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Julian Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+130/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -152 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Julian Hill's 73.1% Adjusted Completion Rate this year shows a meaningful progression in his receiving ability over last year's 64.9% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Dolphins are projected by our trusted projection set to call just 61.5 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Dolphins have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 49.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Chargers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.2 per game) this year.
  • In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Miami Dolphins ranks as the worst in football this year.
  • Since the start of last season, the stout Chargers defense has surrendered a puny 74.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 10th-lowest rate in football.

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