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Julian Hill

Julian Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Carolina Panthers vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Julian Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Carolina Panthers pass defense has yielded the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (80.1%) to tight ends since the start of last season (80.1%).
  • The Panthers linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 59.1% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 9th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL has been the Miami Dolphins.
  • The predictive model expects the Dolphins to run the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 59.0 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The 4th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Miami Dolphins this year (just 49.8 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.
  • Julian Hill has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this season, staying on the field for 58.3% of snaps compared to just 47.9% last season.

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