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Julian Hill

Julian Hill Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Julian Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-119/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -119.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Julian Hill's 73.1% Adjusted Completion Rate this year shows a meaningful progression in his receiving ability over last year's 64.9% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Dolphins are projected by our trusted projection set to call just 61.5 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Dolphins have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 49.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Chargers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.2 per game) this year.
  • In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Miami Dolphins ranks as the worst in football this year.
  • Julian Hill's pass-catching efficiency has diminished this season, totaling just 5.03 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 6.09 mark last season.

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