JuJu Smith-Schuster Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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NFL · Player Props

JuJu Smith-Schuster

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Touchdowns

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions · Week 6, 2025

Updated Oct 13, 2025 12:12 AM UTC

Analysis

JuJu Smith-Schuster Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+305/-325).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -340 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -325.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 64.3% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.
The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-focused offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 65.0% red zone pass rate.
After totaling 9.0 air yards per game last year, JuJu Smith-Schuster has undergone big improvement this year, currently boasting 20.0 per game.
JuJu Smith-Schuster's 22.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 11.1.
When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Chiefs profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-slowest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 29.02 seconds per snap.
While JuJu Smith-Schuster has been responsible for 19.4% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much smaller piece of Kansas City's passing offense near the goal line in this contest at 12.4%.
This year, the stout Lions defense has conceded a puny 65.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 5th-lowest rate in the league.
The Detroit Lions safeties rank as the best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in defending receivers.