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JuJu Smith-Schuster

JuJu Smith-Schuster Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
JuJu Smith-Schuster Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+370/-440).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +395 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +370.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the most pass-focused team in football (69.9% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Kansas City Chiefs.
  • The projections expect this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
  • After averaging 9.0 air yards per game last season, JuJu Smith-Schuster has gotten better this season, currently averaging 22.0 per game.
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster's 25.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 11.1.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their standard approach.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) typically prompt worse passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and higher rush volume.
  • While JuJu Smith-Schuster has garnered 20.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a less important option in Kansas City's passing attack near the goal line in this contest at 14.6%.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest level in football vs. the Jaguars defense this year (64.9% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Jaguars linebackers profile as the 2nd-best LB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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