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JuJu Smith-Schuster

JuJu Smith-Schuster Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
JuJu Smith-Schuster Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+590/-1200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -840 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1200.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 65.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to be the most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 64.9% red zone pass rate.
  • At the moment, the 3rd-quickest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Chiefs.
  • The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the league (38.5 per game) since the start of last season.
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster's 23.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 11.1.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Since the start of last season, the formidable Baltimore Ravens defense has conceded a mere 63.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 6th-lowest rate in the NFL.
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Baltimore's unit has been easily exploitable since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in football. in football.

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