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JuJu Smith-Schuster

JuJu Smith-Schuster Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
JuJu Smith-Schuster Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+820/-1100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +950 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +820.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 62.2% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Right now, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in football in the red zone (63.2% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Chiefs.
  • The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to run the 2nd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a staggering 58.9 per game on average).
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster has accrued significantly more air yards this season (16.0 per game) than he did last season (9.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 4 points.
  • While JuJu Smith-Schuster has earned 12.3% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much smaller piece of Kansas City's passing attack near the end zone in this contest at 6.3%.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest clip in football versus the Broncos defense this year (64.3% Adjusted Completion%).
  • This year, the fierce Broncos defense has given up a mere 0.20 passing touchdowns per game to opposing WRs: the lowest rate in the NFL.

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