JuJu Smith-Schuster Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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JuJu Smith-Schuster

NFL · Player Props

JuJu Smith-Schuster

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receptions

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 9, 2025

Updated Nov 2, 2025 8:32 PM UTC

Analysis

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.2% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The Chiefs have run the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 52.0 plays per game.
Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being projected in this game) usually mean increased passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and lower ground volume.
In regards to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year.
JuJu Smith-Schuster's play as a receiver has gotten better this year, accumulating 3.0 adjusted catches vs a measly 1.7 last year.

Favors Under

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to see only 124.9 plays on offense run: the 3rd-fewest out of all the games this week.
Opposing teams teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Buffalo Bills, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 28.7 per game) this year.
While JuJu Smith-Schuster has been responsible for 10.8% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much smaller piece of Kansas City's passing offense in this week's game at 5.0%.

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