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JuJu Smith-Schuster

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
JuJu Smith-Schuster Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 59.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year.
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster's 3.2 adjusted receptions per game this year shows a meaningful boost in his pass-catching talent over last year's 1.7 rate.
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster's 84.1% Adjusted Catch% this year signifies a material gain in his receiving proficiency over last year's 74.0% figure.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has conceded the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (72.5%) vs. wideouts this year (72.5%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chiefs are a giant 13-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect JuJu Smith-Schuster to be a much smaller part of his offense's pass game in this week's contest (3.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (11.7% in games he has played).

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