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JuJu Smith-Schuster

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
JuJu Smith-Schuster Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+175/-230).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +185 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +175.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 62.2% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to run the 2nd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a staggering 58.9 per game on average).
  • The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster's 2.8 adjusted catches per game this year reflects a noteworthy growth in his receiving ability over last year's 1.7 mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 4 points.
  • The predictive model expects JuJu Smith-Schuster to be a much smaller part of his offense's passing game in this game (5.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (10.0% in games he has played).
  • The Denver Broncos pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (62%) to wide receivers this year (62.0%).
  • The Broncos safeties rank as the 5th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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