JuJu Smith-Schuster Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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JuJu Smith-Schuster

NFL · Player Props

JuJu Smith-Schuster

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receptions

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 11, 2025

Updated Nov 16, 2025 8:37 PM UTC

Analysis

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+175/-230).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +185 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 62.2% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to run the 2nd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a staggering 58.9 per game on average).
The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.
JuJu Smith-Schuster's 2.8 adjusted catches per game this year reflects a noteworthy growth in his receiving ability over last year's 1.7 mark.

Favors Under

This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 4 points.
The predictive model expects JuJu Smith-Schuster to be a much smaller part of his offense's passing game in this game (5.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (10.0% in games he has played).
The Denver Broncos pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (62%) to wide receivers this year (62.0%).
The Broncos safeties rank as the 5th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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