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JuJu Smith-Schuster

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-112/+111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.2% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The Chiefs have run the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 52.0 plays per game.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being projected in this game) usually mean increased passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and lower ground volume.
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster has posted significantly more air yards this season (18.0 per game) than he did last season (9.0 per game).
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to see only 124.9 plays on offense run: the 3rd-fewest out of all the games this week.
  • Opposing teams teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Buffalo Bills, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 28.7 per game) this year.
  • While JuJu Smith-Schuster has been responsible for 10.8% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much smaller piece of Kansas City's passing offense in this week's game at 5.0%.
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster's skills in picking up extra yardage have tailed off this season, notching just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 8.61 mark last season.
  • This year, the stout Buffalo Bills defense has conceded a mere 136.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers: the 10th-fewest in the league.

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