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JuJu Smith-Schuster

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (+115/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the most pass-focused team in football (69.9% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Kansas City Chiefs.
  • The projections expect this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster has gone out for fewer passes this year (78.5% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (45.6%).
  • After averaging 9.0 air yards per game last season, JuJu Smith-Schuster has gotten better this season, currently averaging 22.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their standard approach.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) typically prompt worse passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and higher rush volume.
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year marks a significant decline in his efficiency in space over last year's 8.6% mark.
  • The Jaguars pass defense has given up the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (59.5%) versus wide receivers this year (59.5%).
  • The Jaguars pass defense has exhibited good efficiency against wideouts this year, conceding 6.62 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-fewest in football.

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