JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

JuJu Smith-Schuster

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 3, 2025

Updated Sep 22, 2025 12:32 AM UTC

Analysis

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.0 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 29.0 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chiefs to pass on 61.3% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to run the 10th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.6 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a staggering 58.9 plays per game.
Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually lead to better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.
The leading projections forecast JuJu Smith-Schuster to be a more important option in his team's passing offense in this week's game (14.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (6.2% in games he has played).

Favors Under

With a 6-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.5 pass attempts per game versus the New York Giants defense since the start of last season: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
JuJu Smith-Schuster has accumulated a mere 10.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 24th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
The Giants pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.29 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.