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JuJu Smith-Schuster

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Kansas City Chiefs will be rolling with backup quarterback Chris Oladokun in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • At the moment, the 7th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (63.5% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Chiefs.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • While JuJu Smith-Schuster has earned 8.0% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in Kansas City's passing offense in this week's contest at 18.0%.
  • When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chiefs are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to have only 125.2 total plays run: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game against the Raiders defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.
  • In regards to air yards, JuJu Smith-Schuster ranks in just the 23rd percentile among wideouts this year, accruing just 13.0 per game.
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster's ability to grind out extra yardage has declined this season, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 8.61 figure last season.

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