JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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NFL · Player Props

JuJu Smith-Schuster

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 11, 2025

Updated Nov 16, 2025 8:37 PM UTC

Analysis

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-118/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 62.2% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to run the 2nd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a staggering 58.9 per game on average).
JuJu Smith-Schuster has accrued significantly more air yards this season (16.0 per game) than he did last season (9.0 per game).
The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Favors Under

This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 4 points.
The predictive model expects JuJu Smith-Schuster to be a much smaller part of his offense's passing game in this game (5.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (10.0% in games he has played).
JuJu Smith-Schuster's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season represents a noteable drop-off in his effectiveness in space over last season's 8.6% rate.
The Broncos defense has conceded the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 120.0) vs. wide receivers this year.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has displayed good efficiency versus WRs this year, surrendering 6.51 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the fewest in the NFL.