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JuJu Smith-Schuster

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-118/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 62.2% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to run the 2nd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a staggering 58.9 per game on average).
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster has accrued significantly more air yards this season (16.0 per game) than he did last season (9.0 per game).
  • The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 4 points.
  • The predictive model expects JuJu Smith-Schuster to be a much smaller part of his offense's passing game in this game (5.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (10.0% in games he has played).
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season represents a noteable drop-off in his effectiveness in space over last season's 8.6% rate.
  • The Broncos defense has conceded the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 120.0) vs. wide receivers this year.
  • The Denver Broncos pass defense has displayed good efficiency versus WRs this year, surrendering 6.51 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the fewest in the NFL.

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