JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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JuJu Smith-Schuster

NFL · Player Props

JuJu Smith-Schuster

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 1, 2025

Updated Sep 6, 2025 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chiefs to pass on 64.8% of their chances: the greatest clip on the slate this week.
Right now, the 7th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs.
While Juju Smith-Schuster has been responsible for 5.8% of his team's targets in games he has played last year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more important option in Kansas City's offense this week at 12.1%.
As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL last year.
Juju Smith-Schuster is positioned as one of the most reliable receivers in the league, completing an outstanding 74.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, grading out in the 76th percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 3 points.
Juju Smith-Schuster has compiled a puny 11.0 air yards per game last year: a lowly 25th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has performed very well when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.20 yards-after-the-catch last year: the 10th-fewest in the league.
As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's collection of safeties has been excellent last year, ranking as the 4th-best in football.

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