JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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JuJu Smith-Schuster

NFL · Player Props

JuJu Smith-Schuster

WR · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 8, 2023 12:31 AM UTC

Analysis

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line implies a throwing game script for the Patriots, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
The leading projections forecast the New England Patriots offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.77 seconds per play.
The Steelers pass defense has displayed bad efficiency versus wideouts this year, surrendering 8.71 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-most in the league.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Patriots to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.8% pass rate.
Juju Smith-Schuster has been a less important option in his team's pass attack this year (12.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (18.3%).
Juju Smith-Schuster has notched far fewer air yards this season (26.0 per game) than he did last season (44.0 per game).
Juju Smith-Schuster's 19.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year shows a noteworthy decline in his receiving ability over last year's 62.0 figure.
Juju Smith-Schuster's 64.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this season illustrates a remarkable diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last season's 80.5% figure.

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