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JuJu Smith-Schuster

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 48.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 46.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 2nd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 64.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 129.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster has been used less as a potential target this year (82.0% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (69.7%).
  • THE BLITZ projects JuJu Smith-Schuster to garner 6.8 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 76th percentile among WRs.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The weatherman calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 6th-least in football.
  • The San Francisco 49ers defense has yielded the 8th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 136.0) versus wide receivers this year.
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has performed very well when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.51 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-least in the NFL.
  • The San Francisco 49ers safeties grade out as the 2nd-best group of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

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