JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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JuJu Smith-Schuster

NFL · Player Props

JuJu Smith-Schuster

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 12, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (+109/-144).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 49.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ -144.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 64.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to run the 6th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 59.8 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects JuJu Smith-Schuster to accrue 7.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among WRs.
JuJu Smith-Schuster has put up substantially more receiving yards per game (64.0) this season than he did last season (28.0).

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a huge 8.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
JuJu Smith-Schuster has been less involved as a potential target this season (74.2% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (93.0%).
The Denver Broncos defense has given up the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 128.0) to WRs this year.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency vs. WRs this year, allowing 6.91 yards-per-target to the position: the least in the league.
The Denver Broncos safeties grade out as the 2nd-best safety corps in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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