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Josiah Deguara

Josiah Deguara Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Dallas Cowboys vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Josiah Deguara Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+4900/-25000).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -12500 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -25000.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals will be forced to use backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • This game's line indicates a throwing game script for the Cardinals, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
  • The Cardinals rank as the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 65.0% pass rate.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 59.7 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to have only 131.2 plays on offense run: the lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • Josiah Deguara has notched a feeble 0.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 1st percentile among TEs.
  • Josiah Deguara slots into just the 7th percentile for TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) with a bad 1.1 figure since the start of last season.
  • The Cardinals offensive line grades out as the worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • Opposing squads have run for the most TDs in football (1.25 per game) versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.

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