Joshua Dobbs Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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NFL · Player Props

Joshua Dobbs

QB · Arizona Cardinals

Passing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 7:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Joshua Dobbs Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 200.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 188.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 200.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Arizona Cardinals may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs.
The Cardinals are a big 9.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 59.8% of their downs: the 10th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 27.06 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Cardinals have a new play-caller this year in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 6.1% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
In regards to protecting the passer (and the influence it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Cardinals ranks as the 5th-worst in the league this year.
With a terrible tally of 193.0 adjusted passing yards per game (25th percentile), Joshua Dobbs rates as one of the weakest quarterbacks in the league this year.
Joshua Dobbs is positioned as one of the least accurate QBs in the NFL this year with a 61.7% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 19th percentile.
With a feeble 5.90 adjusted yards-per-target (9th percentile) this year, Joshua Dobbs has been as one of the least efficient passers in the NFL.