Joshua Dobbs Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Joshua Dobbs

NFL · Player Props

Joshua Dobbs

QB · Arizona Cardinals

Passing Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 10:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Joshua Dobbs Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 216.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 218.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 216.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cardinals may lean on the pass less in this game (and call more carries) as a result of being be rolling with backup QB Joshua Dobbs.
A passing game script is suggested by the Cardinals being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
Joshua Dobbs's passing accuracy has improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 62.4% to 65.7%.
As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's collection of LBs has been terrible this year, projecting as the 3rd-worst in the league.

Favors Under

The Arizona Cardinals have a new play-caller this year in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 5.5% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
At the moment, the 3rd-least pass-centric team in football (55.8% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Cardinals.
Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cardinals are projected by the projections to run just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 55.2 plays per game.
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Arizona Cardinals grades out as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.

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