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Joshua Dobbs

Joshua Dobbs Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Arizona Cardinals vs Dallas Cowboys

Joshua Dobbs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Arizona Cardinals boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 5.1% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

The Arizona Cardinals have run the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 61.6 plays per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Arizona Cardinals will be starting backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

The Cardinals are a massive 11.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 6th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 38.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Joshua Dobbs to accrue 3.0 carries in this game, on average: the 11th-least of all quarterbacks.

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