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Josh Reynolds

Josh Reynolds Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

New York Jets vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Josh Reynolds Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • While Josh Reynolds has received 12.0% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in New York's pass game in this week's contest at 20.0%.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Carolina's group of safeties has been terrible this year, profiling as the 7th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the New York Jets to be the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 49.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to have just 123.8 offensive plays run: the fewest among all games this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being called for in this game) typically correlate with lessened passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.
  • When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Jets profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year.
  • The Carolina Panthers pass defense has given up the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (61.6%) vs. wide receivers this year (61.6%).

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