My Account Log Out
 
 
Josh Reynolds

Josh Reynolds Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Josh Reynolds Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Jets being a huge -7-point underdog this week.
  • The projections expect the Jets to run the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.0 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Denver Broncos defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (37.2 per game) this year.
  • Josh Reynolds has gone out for fewer passes this season (80.3% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (59.8%).
  • The Denver cornerbacks profile as the 10th-worst CB corps in football this year in defending receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the New York Jets as the 4th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the New York Jets profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year.
  • Josh Reynolds grades out as one of the bottom wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 0.9 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 23rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • The Denver Broncos pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (61.7%) versus WRs this year (61.7%).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™