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Josh Reynolds Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

New York Jets vs Dallas Cowboys

Josh Reynolds Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -133 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being called for in this game) generally lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced run volume.

The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (39.5 per game) this year.

The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has conceded the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (77.2%) vs. wide receivers this year (77.2%).

The Cowboys linebackers grade out as the 4th-worst group of LBs in football this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Jets to be the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 48.7% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have just 125.8 plays on offense run: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.

The 6th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the New York Jets this year (a mere 53.2 per game on average).

The Jets O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

With a mere 1.4 adjusted catches per game (19th percentile) since the start of last season, Josh Reynolds places as one of the worst wide receivers in the league in football.

More Josh Reynolds Player Props

Josh Reynolds ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 5

New York Jets vs Dallas Cowboys

Josh Reynolds Receptions
Player Prop Week 5