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Josh Reynolds

Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Jets being a huge -7-point underdog this week.
  • The projections expect the Jets to run the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.0 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Denver Broncos defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (37.2 per game) this year.
  • Josh Reynolds has gone out for fewer passes this season (80.3% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (59.8%).
  • The Denver cornerbacks profile as the 10th-worst CB corps in football this year in defending receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the New York Jets as the 4th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the New York Jets profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year.
  • Josh Reynolds has totaled quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (9.0) this season than he did last season (24.0).
  • The Denver Broncos defense has yielded the 7th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 127.0) vs. wideouts this year.
  • This year, the tough Broncos defense has allowed the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a measly 6.6 yards.

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