Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Josh Reynolds

NFL · Player Props

Josh Reynolds

WR · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 9, 2023 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
Josh Reynolds has accumulated many more receiving yards per game (46.0) this year than he did last year (28.0).
Josh Reynolds's ball-catching skills have gotten better this year, with his Completion% rising from 54.9% to 68.8%.
Josh Reynolds has been among the most effective pass-catchers in football, averaging a stellar 9.30 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 77th percentile among wide receivers.
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has given up the 5th-highest Completion% in the league (69.7%) vs. wideouts this year (69.7%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in football.
Josh Reynolds has been much more involved in his team's offense this year, staying in the game for 67.3% of snaps vs just 50.2% last year.
The Detroit Lions O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
Josh Reynolds's talent in generating extra yardage have diminished this year, compiling a mere 3.08 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.47 rate last year.

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