reorder

Josh Palmer Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Cleveland Browns vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Palmer Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+400/-610).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +455 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +400.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 131.0 plays on offense called: the 5th-most on the slate this week.

In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Bills profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

This year, the porous Browns defense has conceded a whopping 1.07 receiving TDs per game to opposing wideouts: the 7th-highest rate in the league.

This year, the imposing Browns run defense has conceded a feeble 0.79 rushing TDs per game to the opposing side: the 10th-lowest rate in the NFL.

The Cleveland Browns defensive ends rank as the best group of DEs in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are heavily favored by 10.5 points.

The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills as the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 50.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Bills to be the 9th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 47.3% red zone run rate.

The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.

More Josh Palmer Player Props

Josh Palmer TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 16

Cleveland Browns vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Palmer Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16