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Josh Palmer Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Palmer Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+430/-480).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -570 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -480.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

The leading projections forecast Josh Palmer to be a more important option in his offense's passing game near the end zone in this week's game (17.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (11.8% in games he has played).

The Bills offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.

Josh Palmer's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 61.3% to 64.6%.

The Houston Texans linebackers rank as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year with their run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this game, implying more of an emphasis on running than their typical game plan.

Our trusted projections expect the Bills as the 9th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 9th-most run-heavy team in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 47.1% red zone run rate.

At the present time, the most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Buffalo Bills.

Josh Palmer has compiled quite a few less air yards this year (43.0 per game) than he did last year (64.0 per game).

More Josh Palmer Player Props

Josh Palmer TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 12

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Palmer Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12