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Josh Palmer

Josh Palmer Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Josh Palmer Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bills offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's game, implying more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 50.4% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Josh Palmer has run fewer routes this year (53.1% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (75.5%).
  • The Eagles pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (57.6%) versus WRs this year (57.6%).

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